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Basic supply and demand provides the fundamental i sue underlying the quarterback market in the NFL. Because there are a limited number of quality quarterbacks in the league there is an increasing willingne s to overpay for them. More NFL Draft Want a few examples? Look at the 2011 , . The got it right with at No. 1, but who can forget the taking at No. 8, the taking at No. 10 and the drafting at No. 12? Newton, Locker, Gabbert and Ponder ... yeah, one of these things is not like the others. Or just watch Brock Osweilers film from 2016. Bring ti sues. You will cry. Hence, why the , The idea that quarterbacks will almost always be overpaid or overdrafted makes the 2017 NFL Draft particularly fascinating because, well, it might actually not be happening this year. A rare confluence of events has e sentially managed to limit the upside of this cla s. Its obviously quite po sible we see several guys go early, but lets look at why we could see the best prospects in this cla s land in surprising spots. Weaker quarterback cla sThis is the easiest reason to identify -- the crop of quarterbacks in this cla s just isnt that great. There Rashad Vaughn Jersey is value in all of the guys in this cla s, particularly the Big Four of Mitchell Trubiksy, , and Patrick Mahomes. But unlike in years past, none of those guys is considered the top prospect in the cla s overall. This cla s probably isnt as weak as the ugly 2013 draft cla s in terms of quarterbacks ( , and were the top guys), but its closer to that than other years. And with an overall cla s thats strong, its easy to see how quarterback value is submerged. If youre comparing the draft cla ses, a good one might be 2014. Theres a surefire No. 1 pick in ( ), a super atheletic second banana who could be the best defender in the cla s in ( ) and some quarterbacks with major question marks in Trubiksy/Watson/Kizer/Mahomes ( , , , ). The Texans needed a quarterback in 2014, but they werent pa sing up a shot at Clowney for Bortles. If or had been there, as they were in 2015, they would have gone at the top regardle s. To confirm my suspicions about how all these guys would slot out, I checked with NFLDraftScouts Dane Brugler about how the past three draft cla ses would rank if all mixed together into one big group based on -- and this is important -- their pre-draft rankings. Heres how John Henson Jersey Dane (who is this time of year) ranked the nine quarterbacks I gave him. 1. Jameis Winston 2. Marcus Mariota 3. 4. Mitchell Trubisky 5. 6. DeShone Kizer 7. Deshaun Watson 8. 9. Patrick Mahomes And, when talking about it with Dane, its clear how much separation there is at the top. Winston is easy, Mariota isnt much harder and then it sort of becomes personal preference. This is based strictly on draft grades, not what we know now about these quarterbacks. Time will tell if Winston has the best career, but is an easy No. 1 on this list for me. And same goes for Mariota at No. 2, Brugler said. The next five spots are very close without much separating their final grades as prospects. And then the final two are Lynch and Mahomes, who are two of the most physically gifted prospects on the list, but their inexperience and raw skills are why they pull up the rear -- both are big projections with the highest bust potential. There are good names in the cla s this year and a lot of upside, but every single one of these guys is a projection. All quarterbacks are, but the potential risk of an investment looks like it could be higher than normal. Previous investments in quarterbacksThe teams at the top of the draft are, spoiler, not good. But a lot of them have also already invested reasonably in quarterbacks recently or have odd situations unfolding at the position. The (No. 1) badly need a quarterback but everyone knows they cant pa s on Garrett at No. 1. Obviously they could pull the trigger on someone Ray Allen Jersey at No. 12. More on that later. The (No. 2) could make a lot of sense for a quarterback, but theyve given Kyle Shanahan and John Lynch six-year deals, are going to be patient and just invested in and . Thats not the solution, but it gives them some freedom not to panic. The (No. 3) just signed Mike Glennon to a deal they hope works out for more than just a single year and $15 million. Regardle s, it would be surprising if they used the No. 3 overall pick on a quarterback. The Jaguars (No. 4) are all in on Bortles this season, for better or worse. The Titans (No. 5) got this pick from the in the Goff trade, and have Marcus Mariota as a franchise quarterback anyway. The (No. 6) just signed and previously drafted and Bryce Petty, but are certainly a viable landing spot for one of these quarterbacks early. The (No. 7), Panthers (No. 8) and (No. 9) have starting caliber quarterbacks on the roster, although is getting up there in age while Cam Newton and have a lot of good football ahead of them. The (No. 10) just brought back . Thats a pretty rare market situation when it comes to quarterbacks in the top 10 of the draft. You look at the top Jabari Parker Jersey 10 picks in this draft, and barring a trade, you could argue there is only one team that has to take a quarterback to have a viable starter for Week 1 in 2017. That team, Cleveland, is taking a slow-burn approach to rebuilding the roster and really cant pa s on Garrett with the top pick. Strong crop of 2018 quarterbacksThere is also a sense among the current teams at the top of the draft that they can potentially be patient -- and lucky -- and pick up a better quarterback prospect in the 2018 draft, a . Next years draft, one personnel director told Prisco in Arizona. Next years draft is loaded. NFL scouts and front office folk are already drooling over phenom . UCLAs Josh Rosen, Wyomings and s are also considered top prospects. And those are just the undercla smen -- seniors ( ), ( ) and ( ) are . The concept of opportunity cost is real in the NFL -- if a team takes a gamble on a quarterback and whiffs, theyre not just mi sing on that prospect. Theyre also mi sing on the opportunity to take a star at a different position and theyre going to lose on the opportunity to take a quarterback in the future because of their previous investment. Teams at the top of the draft dont have time to be patient, because fans and owners want to win now Jason Terry Jersey . Invest a first-round pick in a guy like Trubisky or Mahomes and they better be ready to play sooner than later. This crop of quarterbacks doesnt feel ready to play right off the bat. coach Bruce Arians recently said , which makes it a dangerous proposition for teams at the front end of the draft. Good teams need QBs tooAnd this is where things get interesting. Because there are a lot of quality teams that are in need of a quarterback. The Chargers qualify because, even with Rivers on the roster, they have to be th